The Pakistan Conundrum

Posted by Bio ↓ on Oct 28th, 2010 Comments ↓

To make matters worse, the civilian government is on the knife’s edge of instability as riots continue in the city of Karachi and the authorities seem completely unable to quell the disturbances. The unrest began last summer when Raza Haider, leader of the Muttehida Qaumi Movement (MQM), was gunned down at a funeral. The MQM blamed a rival political party, the Awami National Party (ANP), who denied involvement. Since then, the violence has ebbed and flowed, starting up again last week as dozens have been killed. The divisions causing the riots are not just political, but religious as well. There is also an ethnic component to the rioting that reflects the tribal nature of Pakistan and its many fractious parts.

As with the catastrophic floods, the government of President Asif Ali Zardari seems too paralyzed to act in a decisive manner. The people have lost all faith in the civilian government, largely due to the extraordinary corruption at the highest levels, including Zardari himself whose nickname in Pakistan is “Mr. Ten Percent,” referring to the cut he is reportedly taking on many government contracts. But there are also questions of competence, as the only entity that appears to engender confidence is the military — not a good sign for President Zardari and his squabbling coalition partners.

The words not being spoken at this round robin of meetings between Pakistanis and Americans last week in Washington have a lot to do with the future prospects of civilian government in Pakistan. Can Zardari survive? There are some in the American government who won’t come out and say it, but they wouldn’t mind seeing army Chief of Staff General Ashfaq Parvez Kayani take over if things get much worse. Rumors of coups in Pakistan are very common, and it is not likely that the unrest in Karachi alone, or the corruption scandals, or even Muslim extremists could unseat Mr. Zardari. But a combination of all three plus any threat to the security of Pakistan’s nuclear arsenal might force Kayani’s hand in the matter. If so, the situation would become even more dangerous.

Kayani is nominally pro-American. He attended staff college in the states and has a good relationship with our military and the CIA. But he has also shown that he is no American toady, resisting calls by the US government to prosecute the war against extremists more vigorously in order to relieve pressure on our troops in Afghanistan. In short, Kayani would be likely to continue the two-faced policy of assisting us in some areas, and opposing us in others.

As the meetings in Washington are demonstrating, the United States has little choice but to continue the unsatisfying and derelict policy of pretending that Pakistan is a good ally, while turning the other way when it proves the opposite. It is, as Mr. Rothkopf says, “realpolitik at its most stark, loaded, and complex.” He adds:

And it underscores that within every compromise or look the other way associated with the “swallow-hard and pursue the national interest” dimension of realpolitik there are the seeds of the strategy’s own destruction. Embrace flawed allies and the relationship turns on whether it is driven by the objectives of the alliance or the flaws that are being overlooked in its favor. And — as we have seen from Saigon to Baghdad to tin pot dictatorships worldwide — more often than not the flaws win out in the long run.

There is almost something nightmarish in being forced to walk this path — knowing it will probably fail in the end, knowing that it must fail — and yet being powerless to stop it due to geo-strategic necessities having to do with the war in Afghanistan and the security of nuclear weapons. It’s no wonder the Obama administration wants out of Afghanistan and is now desperate to bring the Taliban to the table and manage an agreement with the government of Hamid Karzai that would almost certainly be unsatisfactory but would allow for an orderly withdrawal of most American combat troops.

What happens in Afghanistan will not greatly affect the long term challenges we face in Pakistan with extremists, international terrorists, and the reality of two nuclear powers eying each other nervously across one of the most militarized borders in the world. But as maddening and complex our relationship with Pakistan can be, the consequences of having no relations, or bad relations, is even worse.

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About

Rick Moran is blog editor of The American Thinker, and Chicago editor of PJ Media.His personal blog is Right Wing Nuthouse.

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14 Responses for “The Pakistan Conundrum”

  1. ObamaYoMoma says:

    Pakistan has been playing a two faced double game with the West for decades and the only ones who are too stupid to know it is our multicultural and diversity obsessed State Department that is paralyzed by political correctness.

    We should as soon as possible destroy the nuclear weapons arsenal and nuclear weapons programs in Pakistan and level the terrorist camps in Pakistan. At the same time, we should get out of Afghanistan because there is nothing to win in Afghanistan as the fantasy based nation-building mission over there has always been exceedingly misguided and incredibly counterproductive. Hence, once Pakistan’s nuclear weapons arsenal and nuclear weapons programs have been destroyed, and the terrorists and terrorist camps obliterated, we should leave ASAP, and from now on give our undivided support to India, as Pakistan is part of the Islamic world, which is waging a perpetual jihad against the non-Islamic world.

    We need to recognize that the entire Islamic world without exception is waging perpetual jihad against the non-Islamic free world and not just some of them. Therefore, none of them are our allies and all of them will play double games to pursue their interests if we let them.

    • Willieboy says:

      Too true. Where are all the 'moderate' Muslims were hear so much about from the Left?

    • nasir says:

      It's not out of love that west has to deal with Pakistan. It is always their own needs that force them to engage with Pakistan. May it be Afghan jihad in 80's against the soviets or lately so called war against terrorism. Coming to the nuclear arsenal of Pakistan, Alhamdulillah they are in safe hands. Nuclear Islamic state, Pakistan is a reality now and world has to accept it. One may be able to destroy it's arsenal but don't they have the brains to make it again?
      Peace

      • ObamaYoMoma says:

        Actually, once our aims with respect to the Soviets were accomplished, we had no further interests in that area, except now to defang your nuclear weapons arsenal and to destroy your nuclear weapons program and to also obliterate the jihadists and the terrorist camps with the full force of the US military, which is being held back because of political correctness.

        Anyway, while you may consider the nuclear arsenal as being in good hands, I’m not so naïve. As for as I’m concerned, no nuclear weapons should be allowed to be in the hands of Islamic states, since per Islam you guys have an imperative to subjugate the world by any and all means via the imposition of Sharia. Thus, it was a stupid mistake to allow Pakistan to acquire them in the first place, but that is what happens when leftists get elected to positions of power, and with respect to rebuilding a nuclear weapons program again, only if we don’t destroy your attempts every time you try again.

    • Wesley69 says:

      After we do this, we need to make a warning, any attacks on this country will be met with a nuclear response and we will provide no aid toward rebuilding that country.

    • Duke says:

      Yo ObamaYoMoma, America is no longer white racist nation. Half of your Doctors, Engineers, Scientiist are either Chinese or South Asians and it is growing.

      Don't get to emotional by reading the above Article. What the Article does not tell you that Jihadis were the creation of CIA in early 80's. They are the one who created this monster to beat the Commis. Now, it is coming to haunt you.

      US has always used Pakistan's hands and feets to serve its interest in that region and of course it does not come for free. US don't have too many friends in that region. Fully support Indai !!. This is a country which is taking advantage of US failures in this region. Let's not forget that they sided with Comminist Russia and in they still do.

      Let me remind you that Pakistan is not like Panama or Greneda or Iraq. It can cause serious blow to Western forces. Attacking Pakistan will trigger third world war.

      • ObamaYoMoma says:

        Yo ObamaYoMoma, America is no longer white racist nation. Half of your Doctors, Engineers, Scientiist are either Chinese or South Asians and it is growing.

        That’s a dumb leftwing myth. America never was a white racist nation. Nevertheless, only morons worship at the alter of multiculturalism and diversity, whereby all cultures are equal and beyond reproach with the exception of white western culture. Don’t get me wrong I have no problem with Chinese or South Asians as long as they assimilate and integrate. However, I’m sorry but Muhammadan immigration must be banned and reversed, because they never immigrate to assimilate and integrate, only to eventually subjugate and dominate. It’s a form of demographic and stealth non-violent jihad the Muslim Brotherhood calls civilization jihad.

        Don't get to emotional by reading the above Article. What the Article does not tell you that Jihadis were the creation of CIA in early 80's. They are the one who created this monster to beat the Commis. Now, it is coming to haunt you

        Actually, that is a very dumb myth and only guilt filled self-hating loons and anarcho-kooks believe that garbage, because they have been inculcated to hate capitalism, always blame America first, and to hate Western civilization.

        Anyway, the reality is the Talibs (students), which later were morphed into the Taliban, are the graduate students of the thousands of Saudi funded madrassas in Pakistan and they are a joint product of the Saudis and the Pakistani ISI. Thus, after we accomplish what I said in my first post, we need to also eliminate the Saudi Royal Family as well and confiscate their oil wealth and oil assets from them, because if we don’t then they will continue to use that oil wealth and those oil assets to finance and fund jihad forever per the dictates of Islam.

        US has always used Pakistan's hands and feets to serve its interest in that region and of course it does not come for free. US don't have too many friends in that region.

        With respect to US interests, in the 80s the only interests we had in the region was to counter the Soviet Union, who were our Cold War adversaries of the 20th century. However, today because the global jihad is the new Cold War of the 21st century, our interests lies in neutralizing any and all threats emanating from the region.

        Fully support Indai !!. This is a country which is taking advantage of US failures in this region. Let's not forget that they sided with Comminist Russia and in they still do.

        With respect to India, the Soviet Union collapsed and thus its replacement is no longer the same adversary it once was. Hence, what India did in the past is irrelevant.

        Today, unlike Pakistan, rapidly developing India isn’t Islamic, as it has a democratic pluralistic society and thus we have many areas of shared interests that we can cooperate on to our mutual benefit.

        Moreover, unlike Islamic states, India like all other westernized democratic states doesn’t attack any of its neighbors for the purpose of conquest. However, like Israel, India is also the victim of a permanent jihad being waged against it by jihadists emanating out of Pakistan in the Kashmir region. In any event, India is a very valuable strategic ally to have and we should cooperate militarily and economically to fulfill our mutual interests.

        Let me remind you that Pakistan is not like Panama or Greneda or Iraq. It can cause serious blow to Western forces. Attacking Pakistan will trigger third world war.

        With all due respect, Pakistan is a basket case; let’s not get absurd. If Pakistan tried to resist the USA, it’s antiquated military would quickly be totally annihilated by the USA’s much more modern military machine. Hence, unless Pakistan wants to end up totally defenseless, it better cooperate.

      • ashvin says:

        lol, jihad was a CIA invention ! No surprise American is not longer the country it was. i am really laughing.

    • Chief Sitting Bull says:

      "Hear me people: We now have to deal with another race—small and feeble when our fathers first met them, but now great and overbearing. Strangely enough they have a mind to till the soil and the love of possessions is a disease with them. They take their tithes from the poor and weak to support the rich and those who rule." – Chief Sitting Bull

  2. Spider says:

    If you find a moderate Mu-slim please let me know. But personally I think it will be an exercise similar to searching for bigfoot or the tooth fairy or a chicken with teeth.

  3. Fred Dawes says:

    we all know one fact moderate muslims are a total joke, but our government who has at it's head may well be a muslims. and lets face facts this NOV -2 Will mean nothing, but lik the so called moderate muslims we can all still hope, that is a joke.

  4. SenatorMark4 says:

    Rick, please, people that can see ANYTHING good in dealing with corrupt, Islamic, pathetic countries like Pakistan are doing nothing more than making excuses for not expanding freedom. WE have the power to turn their entire country to glass at a moments notice but can't seem to twist up the nerve to tell them that endorsing our First and Second Amendments are what we consider a crucial foundation for freedom. Article 1, section 2 of the Constitution telling the politicians they will face the voters every TWO years is what makes a society patient when the rulers get off track and their corrupt system would surely benefit from endorsing it. SPREAD FREEDOM. Ignore tyrants completely: no grants, no loans, no military aid, no visas, no cultural exchanges. Let them fade into the mud (or tiptoe around the glass).

  5. Wramblin' Wreck says:

    I think the best solution would be to financially isolate Pakistan. Stop the tens of billions of dollars we pay them. Most of that just gets sucked up by corrupt politicians and military leaders. Interfere with Iran, Russia and North Korea’s payoffs to Pakistan. I really think that poverty will open their eyes.

    They have no conception of the personal freedoms that we enjoy. Requiring Pakistan to include these liberties (at least for now) would be like requiring a horse to dress only in blue. Teach them in a way to which they can relate and follow.

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