The Many Conflicts of Syria


While U.S. pundits may continue to quibble over the role of the Brotherhood within the SNC, the Syrians themselves have largely acknowledged it.  “They are saying that there are weapons in depots here (in Turkey) but they won’t release them to us because we are not pledging allegiance to them. They want us to follow Saudi Arabia or a big organization like the Brotherhood,” said one Syrian arms broker speaking to Time magazine.  “We are refusing this. That’s why the next batch of weapons has been delayed. Either we follow them, and get lots of weapons, or we don’t and die.”

The prominence of the Muslim Brotherhood in the Syrian rebellion has led to yet one more conflict of interests playing out inside Syria, between the Sunni Arab regimes in the region. Currently there is no “upside” for U.S. interests in this crucial conflict, largely because the Obama administration continues to insist that the Muslim Brotherhood is an acceptable regional actor, and has put the U.S. on the side of the Muslim Brotherhood in the regional conflict between the Brotherhood and the old guard Sunni regimes. This is due to a misconception held by the Obama Administration, which views the Muslim Brotherhood as a legitimate Islamist opposition to jihadist forces represented by Al Qaeda. Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates have both expressed concerns regarding the growth of Brotherhood power in the region, while Qatar and the Turks have largely supported it.  The Saudis and their allies may have an interest in seeing some other force than the Brotherhood winning in Syria, which may lead them to back other forces, particularly if the FSA is subsumed by the Brotherhood-controlled SNC. Of course it is equally possible that they may see a Muslim Brotherhood-held Syria as a better option than Assad remaining in power.

The final conflict is between the Sunni and Shia.  A defeat for Assad would be a defeat for Iran, the leading Shia state, and in that sense the Syrian conflict can also be viewed through the lens of the Sunni-Shia competition and the Sunni states fear of an aggressive Iranian regime.  For many western analysts, this has been the conflict to which many are most attuned. Assad is an ally of Iran, and if Assad goes, Iran is weakened, ergo Assad should fall, whatever the cost.

In sum, the United States’ Syria policy has been deeply confused, in each of the numerous conflicts now taking place around Syria. In the fight for control of the Syrian opposition, the U.S. has backed the Muslim Brotherhood over overt jihadists, which insures an Islamist victor ideologically hostile to the United States over other more preferable actors. It has failed to recognize the interests at play for Russia, leaving the U.S. continuing to seek Russian complicity in a series of negotiations which are ultimately doomed to failure. Its desire for agreement with the Russians has led it to neglect the goal of ousting Assad and dealing a setback to Iran, which alienates the U.S. among the very rebels we seek to support. In dealing with Turkey, The U.S., through NATO, has both supported Turkey, while casting doubt upon its claims at the same time.

Ultimately as we began the piece by noting, the situation in Syria is made up of multiple interwoven conflicts. The U.S. has a coherent policy for none of them.

Kyle Shideler is a research fellow for EMET (Endowment for Middle East Truth).

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Comments

  1. Roger says:

    My my, you are learning. Sesame street was brought to you by this letter…..

    • Jesusinator says:

      G <DIV style=”FONT-FAMILY: times new roman, new york, times, serif; FONT-SIZE: 12pt”> <DIV style=”FONT-FAMILY: times new roman, new york, times, serif; FONT-SIZE: 12pt”> <DIV dir=ltr> <DIV style=”BORDER-BOTTOM: #ccc 1px solid; BORDER-LEFT: #ccc 1px solid; PADDING-BOTTOM: 0px; LINE-HEIGHT: 0; MARGIN: 5px 0px; PADDING-LEFT: 0px; PADDING-RIGHT: 0px; HEIGHT: 0px; FONT-SIZE: 0px; BORDER-TOP: #ccc 1px solid; BORDER-RIGHT: #ccc 1px solid; PADDING-TOP: 0px”></DIV>

      • Roger says:

        Oh look! The headers are here, now they're not. Now they're back!

        It's the magical headers!

        And you're still just here wasting time playing games instead of debating issues.
        Go tell that to your muslim friendly work office that you sit in.

  2. Roger says:

    With English as a second language, you always fail to grasp American sarcasm.

    Yet, you always have the words to attack the things that don't deserve it. Like those horrible Jews that you call child killers.

    • Jesusinator says:

      So you think the Jews are horrible? It wasn't sarcasm roger. You use to link your profile with a youtube video called “USA a Nation of Cowards” <DIV style=”FONT-FAMILY: times new roman, new york, times, serif; FONT-SIZE: 12pt”> <DIV style=”FONT-FAMILY: times new roman, new york, times, serif; FONT-SIZE: 12pt”> <DIV dir=ltr> <DIV style=”BORDER-BOTTOM: #ccc 1px solid; BORDER-LEFT: #ccc 1px solid; PADDING-BOTTOM: 0px; LINE-HEIGHT: 0; MARGIN: 5px 0px; PADDING-LEFT: 0px; PADDING-RIGHT: 0px; HEIGHT: 0px; FONT-SIZE: 0px; BORDER-TOP: #ccc 1px solid; BORDER-RIGHT: #ccc 1px solid; PADDING-TOP: 0px”></DIV>

      • patriothere says:

        They are what they are.

        • Roger says:

          And so is the group using suicide belts and car bombs.

          • patriothere says:

            what freedom fighters?

          • Roger says:

            You consider suicide vests a step for freedom?

            Kind of makes it sound like you think the only freedom is found in death.

          • patriothere says:

            Sure. why not? Maybe the international community will sympathize with their plight when enough blood has been shed and put an end to the fighting and the occupation and make way for freedom and peace.

          • Roger says:

            Suicide vests are the lowest of the low. They show a total lack of regard for life.

            They are sloppy in that you can't target specifics and take out bystanders.

            For you to advocate their use is barbarism at it's most obvious.

          • Elisheva says:

            I have a vest I want to sell you Roger.

  3. Alinsky Hero USA says:

    I knew Roger hated America.

    • Jesusinator says:

      Yep, and he calls himself an American <DIV style=”FONT-FAMILY: times new roman, new york, times, serif; FONT-SIZE: 12pt”> <DIV style=”FONT-FAMILY: times new roman, new york, times, serif; FONT-SIZE: 12pt”> <DIV dir=ltr> <DIV style=”BORDER-BOTTOM: #ccc 1px solid; BORDER-LEFT: #ccc 1px solid; PADDING-BOTTOM: 0px; LINE-HEIGHT: 0; MARGIN: 5px 0px; PADDING-LEFT: 0px; PADDING-RIGHT: 0px; HEIGHT: 0px; FONT-SIZE: 0px; BORDER-TOP: #ccc 1px solid; BORDER-RIGHT: #ccc 1px solid; PADDING-TOP: 0px”></DIV>

      • Roger says:

        Oh look the two of you are so happy together.

        Both muslim/muslim friendly 'hate' centered posters here.
        I'm not too surprised. Why not make up something else, like I'm 'anti-mars' or something?

  4. Roger says:

    The comment speaks for itself.

    Just as your cry for jihad does.

    And the link to that video I like is this.
    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5gw4wTzyLX0

    People can decide for themselves what it means.

  5. Alinsky Hero USA says:

    How would anybody NOT use two hands to use a bong???? It is not possible stupid.

    McVeigh and you would be best friends on navy's site.

  6. Alinsky Hero USA says:

    Just showing that there is yet ANOTHER thing you are completely clueless about stupid.

    Just like you don't know any of the biblical rules for having sex because you have never had sex with a woman.

  7. Roger says:

    Just because you are all knowing about praying to allah and holding a bong doesn't mean you're an expert at anything more than eating cheetos.

    And why do you always bring up sex? I'm not interested.

  8. Roger says:

    Just because you are all knowing about praying to allah and holding a bong doesn't mean you're an expert at anything more than facing mecca and eating cheetos.

    And why do you always bring up sex? I'm not interested.

  9. Roger says:

    He wasn't naked, he was wearing a goat hair swim suit.

    • Alinsky Hero USA says:

      The man Roger, stop pretending you didn't just sent a naked picture of a man to this site.

      • Roger says:

        All these comments, and you have avoided discussing a single issue. You are a troll.

        Go back to the basement and use both hands on your bong for all I care.

        Muslims, and those that advocate violence such as yourself and wee are killing people in Syria and you'd rather try talking to me about naked men?

      • Roger says:

        All these comments, and you have avoided discussing a single issue. You are a troll.

        Go back to the basement and use both hands on your bong for all I care.

        Muslims, and those that advocate violence such as yourself and wee are killing people in Syria and you'd rather try talking to me about naked men?

        • patriothere says:

          Well you are wrong. Muslims are not killing people in Syria. The assad regime which is not muslim, is killing people in syria.

          • patriothere says:

            The assad regime is killing people in syria. Not muslims.

          • Roger says:

            Are the people of Syria Hindu's?

            You could try to actually challenge what I say.

          • patriothere says:

            The people of syria are christians. Assads regime is a godless regime. A secular regime. An alawite regime.

            You are wrong troll!

          • Roger says:

            The people of Syria are backed by Iran and fall into line with their clerics.

            You can't make this stuff up, you're not bright enough.

            So, who writes this for you?

          • patriothere says:

            The people of syria are backed by Russia. Not by Iran. You are wrong. The peopel of syria are christian and druze and muslim and are oppressed by a godless secular alawite regime. So it is a secular regime killing muslims and druze and christians and shia and sunni etc.

          • Roger says:

            Iran has troops in Syria.
            You just stick to your talking points and be a good dependable rented mouth.

            No one pays much attention to you anyhow.

            Why?

            6 minutes ago @ Breitbart.com – Protests to greet Ahma… · 1 reply · 0 points
            I'm like jesus, I'm gonna chase you money changers out of the temple and out of town and of course out of this forum. Me and ohsoquiet and a few other REAL AMERICANS who are being PAID to be here like you Israeli PR men. I'm here to chase you filth out.

          • Roger says:

            Of course muslims are killing people in Syria. It's not Baptist missionaries.

          • patriothere says:

            Assads forces are godless and secular. It's not cartoonish as you put it.

          • Roger says:

            They are muslims.

            They sure are not Christians.

          • patriothere says:

            There are thousands of christians in syria so you are wrong. Assad forces are godless and secular alawites. You are wrong.

          • Roger says:

            And you haven't shown them to be the ones fighting and slaughtering.

            You are wrong.

        • Alinsky Hero USA says:

          Lying and using hate speech agaist Muslims will not distract from the fact that you are sending pictures of naked men to people on this site.

          The only thing you ever talk about is personal attacks on WeeTodd and sex with goats and sending picture of nude men.

          Try to have a normal debate on the issues for once.

  10. Jesusinator says:

    oh I get it. It's ok for you to twist comments

  11. Roger says:

    Deny what statement? This one?

    "<DIV style="FONT-FAMILY: times new roman, new york, times, serif; FONT-SIZE: 12pt"> <DIV style="FONT-FAMILY: times new roman, new york, times, serif; FONT-SIZE: 12pt"> <DIV dir=ltr> <DIV style="BORDER-BOTTOM: #ccc 1px solid; BORDER-LEFT: #ccc 1px solid; PADDING-BOTTOM: 0px; LINE-HEIGHT: 0; MARGIN: 5px 0px; PADDING-LEFT: 0px; PADDING-RIGHT: 0px; HEIGHT: 0px; FONT-SIZE: 0px; BORDER-TOP: #ccc 1px solid; BORDER-RIGHT: #ccc 1px solid; PADDING-TOP: 0px"></DIV>"

  12. Roger says:

    Do the goats do monkeys?
    I hope for your sake they do. Otherwise you're going to be really out of sorts again in the morning.

    You make this way to easy. What a 'wee' small little tiny tiny little man.

    • Jesusinator says:

      Monkey, reply

      • Roger says:

        You didn't reply.

        Did the monkey forget to get out the talking points and attack something he doesn't understand?
        Does patriothere know you're working his shift?

        • Jesusinator says:

          good monkey. one more time

          • Roger says:

            One more time you prove you have nothing of substance to add to any important debate.

            Just an empty hate filled bigot.

          • Jesusinator says:

            You listen well monkey <DIV style=”FONT-FAMILY: times new roman, new york, times, serif; FONT-SIZE: 12pt”> <DIV style=”FONT-FAMILY: times new roman, new york, times, serif; FONT-SIZE: 12pt”> <DIV dir=ltr> <DIV style=”BORDER-BOTTOM: #ccc 1px solid; BORDER-LEFT: #ccc 1px solid; PADDING-BOTTOM: 0px; LINE-HEIGHT: 0; MARGIN: 5px 0px; PADDING-LEFT: 0px; PADDING-RIGHT: 0px; HEIGHT: 0px; FONT-SIZE: 0px; BORDER-TOP: #ccc 1px solid; BORDER-RIGHT: #ccc 1px solid; PADDING-TOP: 0px”></DIV>

          • Roger says:

            So, you're not even pretending this morning.

            It used to be cute, watching you pretend intelligence. You don't even think you can fool anyone now.

          • Jesusinator says:

            Are you happy I let you out of thecage so you can comment Monkey? <DIV style=”FONT-FAMILY: times new roman, new york, times, serif; FONT-SIZE: 12pt”> <DIV style=”FONT-FAMILY: times new roman, new york, times, serif; FONT-SIZE: 12pt”> <DIV dir=ltr> <DIV style=”BORDER-BOTTOM: #ccc 1px solid; BORDER-LEFT: #ccc 1px solid; PADDING-BOTTOM: 0px; LINE-HEIGHT: 0; MARGIN: 5px 0px; PADDING-LEFT: 0px; PADDING-RIGHT: 0px; HEIGHT: 0px; FONT-SIZE: 0px; BORDER-TOP: #ccc 1px solid; BORDER-RIGHT: #ccc 1px solid; PADDING-TOP: 0px”></DIV>

  13. Roger says:

    As if you even have control over the other trolls in your office.

    You can call me monkey all day long from your goat barn. I don't care. The only monkey trapped here is you, and you're trapped by your muslim friendly hatred and bigotry.

    Now, I can get back to other stories where people actually care about issues. You never have.

  14. stevefraser says:

    Now matter what, it isn't gonna turn out well for Israel, O's target in the ME.

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